The Trump Presidency Is Going Great

Documenting the chaos since day one — one awful day at a time.

4,852entries documented
+16added in last 24h
+167this week
Nov 2024covering since
Category: national security

Wednesday, April 8, 2026

national security

jd vance warns iran to be reasonable while trump plays nuclear chicken

JD Vance bravely urges Iran to act in good faith while standing next to the guy who just threatened to level the country like a bored 12-year-old in a war simulator.

JD Vance bravely urges Iran to act in good faith while standing next to the guy who just threatened to level the country like a bored 12-year-old in a war simulator.

JD Vance, now apparently the administration’s designated "reasonable-sounding" face of catastrophe, popped up to warn Iran to negotiate in "good faith" during a two-week ceasefire that exists solely because Pakistan sprinted in at the buzzer to stop Donald Trump’s surrender-or-destruction ultimatum. Yes, the world’s largest nuclear power outsourced crisis management to Islamabad because the president was busy LARPing as a Call of Duty loading screen. The deal temporarily reopens the Strait of Hormuz and pauses the part where Trump promised Iran “widespread destruction” if they didn’t cave on his timeline. Vance described it as a "fragile truce," which is a poetic way of saying "one more Truth Social post away from World War III." While the vice-president lectures Tehran about "good faith," the actual problem remains the guy in the Oval Office who treats war powers like a Groupon. So the U.S. and Iran are in a provisional ceasefire, global oil markets are clinging to life support, and the only reason we’re not currently testing how many simultaneous crises the Pentagon can mismanage is because Pakistan dragged everyone back from the brink. American diplomacy under Trump continues its proud tradition of: start the fire, lose the hose, yell at everyone else to stop being so flammable.
theguardian.comSource Article
#national-security#killing-democracy
national security

two-week ceasefire in the war trump helped start, what could go wrong

Trump explains that a two-week ceasefire is actually the greatest peace deal in history, if you ignore everything that happened before day one and after day fourteen.

Trump explains that a two-week ceasefire is actually the greatest peace deal in history, if you ignore everything that happened before day one and after day fourteen.

The U.S. and Iran have agreed to a two-week ceasefire, which is what passes for "peace" when your commander-in-chief treats foreign policy like reality TV sweeps week. After months of brinkmanship, drone strikes, and chest-thumping threats typed in all caps, the White House is now selling a 14‑day timeout as statesmanship on par with Camp David. Somewhere, actual diplomats are quietly screaming into throw pillows. This sudden pause in hostilities arrives after Trump spent years shredding the Iran nuclear deal, sanctioning anything that moved, and then acting shocked when tensions exploded. Now, with a conveniently short, made‑for‑news-cycle ceasefire, the administration gets to claim it "stopped a war" it spent the better part of a term trying to start. Manufacture the crisis, then brag you temporarily lost the instruction manual for the missiles—it’s the Trump Doctrine in miniature. Of course, details on what happens after the two weeks are about as solid as a Truth Social business plan. No clear path to a broader agreement, no restored nuclear framework, just the vague promise that maybe, if everyone behaves, we can go back to the pre‑crisis status quo that Trump personally demolished. But for now, the bombs are (mostly) quiet, the cable chyrons say "CEASEFIRE," and the president gets fresh footage for campaign ads about how only he can prevent the fire he started last season.
nbcnews.comSource ArticleAlso: theguardian.comAlso: theguardian.com
#national-security#imperialism#full-stupid

Friday, April 3, 2026

national security

trump shrugs off downed u.s. jet, keeps selling his iran war

Trump, moments before explaining how a downed U.S. jet is both no big deal and also the perfect reason to start a war.

Trump, moments before explaining how a downed U.S. jet is both no big deal and also the perfect reason to start a war.

Trump tells NBC that Iran shooting down a U.S. jet definitely won’t affect negotiations, which is a fascinating claim from the guy who’s been dragging out his “we have no choice but war” PowerPoint for weeks. So the line is: a direct attack on U.S. hardware is fine, diplomacy is ongoing, and also, please clap for my big tough Iran rhetoric on the campaign trail. Strategic clarity has left the chat. Former Defense Secretary Mark Esper pops up to warn that letting Iran down a U.S. jet without serious consequence will only "embolden" them, while Trump’s political operation is simultaneously pulling out the "big rhetorical guns" to justify a wider conflict. So we’re back in the classic Trump era loop: downplay a serious national security incident, escalate the war talk anyway, and hope nobody notices that the messaging makes zero sense unless the real objective is a made-for-TV crusade, not actual deterrence. The White House line is basically: this won’t derail talks, but it totally proves we need my war. It’s the foreign policy version of burning down your own kitchen so you can complain about how dangerous stoves are. Meanwhile, the Pentagon, Congress, and every U.S. service member who might have to fight this thing are left trying to decode whatever came out of Trump’s mouth in the last interview and guess which version of reality he’ll believe tomorrow morning.
nbcnews.comSource ArticleAlso: nbcnews.comAlso: nbcnews.com
#national-security#imperialism#killing-democracy

Friday, March 27, 2026

national security

america’s skies continue their exciting ‘vibes-based’ air traffic experiment

A commercial jet lines up for landing while a Black Hawk casually auditions for a role as hood ornament.

A commercial jet lines up for landing while a Black Hawk casually auditions for a role as hood ornament.

A United Airlines flight coming into John Wayne Airport had to yank itself out of the sky-path of a US military Black Hawk after the helicopter wandered into its approach, triggering a serious collision avoidance alarm. The plane had 168 people on board, all of whom presumably did not sign up for a surprise live reenactment of "Top Gun: Budget Cuts Edition." Flight data shows the aircraft got within 525 feet vertically and about 1,400 feet laterally before the anti-collision system screamed "maybe don’t die today" and the pilots leveled off. This is all happening barely a year after an American Airlines jet actually did collide with a Black Hawk near DC, killing 67 people and allegedly prompting the FAA to get very serious about… asking controllers to actually use radar. In March, the agency rolled out a new policy requiring controllers to actively separate helicopters and planes around airports instead of the previous "hope they see each other" doctrine. Now, after this latest close call, the FAA is investigating whether that brand-new rule was applied or just printed out and ceremonially ignored. On the tapes, you can hear an air traffic controller asking the United pilot if he’d been told about the helicopter or to restrict altitude. The pilot replies he got a resolution advisory—the most serious in-cockpit warning—at which point the controller, in a masterclass of understatement, says, "We’re going to be addressing that, because that was not good." The California National Guard insists its Black Hawk was at its assigned altitude and talking to ATC, which is reassuring in the same way it’s reassuring to know everyone filled out the paperwork before almost colliding. Meanwhile, this incident comes just two days after an Air Canada jet hit a fire truck at LaGuardia, killing both pilots, because apparently US aviation safety has entered its "shared universe" phase. The Trump-era approach to regulation—defund, deregulate, then act shocked when physics notices—has left the system held together by overworked controllers, stressed pilots, and software screaming at the last second. But yes, tell us again how the real threat to America is too many rules.
theguardian.comSource Article
#national-security#full-stupid

Wednesday, March 18, 2026

national security

another trump counterterrorism chief nopes out

Joe Kent, Trump’s former top counterterrorism official, seen here realizing the real threat to national security was his own chain of command.

Joe Kent, Trump’s former top counterterrorism official, seen here realizing the real threat to national security was his own chain of command.

The Trump administration’s top counterterrorism official, Joe Kent, has resigned, because apparently the War on Terror was no match for the War on Basic Competence happening inside this White House. NPR’s Steve Inskeep is talking to Kent’s co-author Marty Skovlund, presumably to answer the burning question: what finally broke him—policy disagreements, ethical lines, or just too many meetings where the president asked if ISIS could be solved with a tweet and a golf summit?

Yet again, the person in charge of keeping Americans safe from terrorists has decided that staying in Trump’s national security apparatus is somehow less safe than leaving it. At this point, the counterterrorism portfolio looks like a revolving door with a security clearance. But sure, sleep well, America—your terrorist threat matrix is being updated by whoever hasn’t resigned, been sidelined, or rage-quit on live TV this week.

npr.orgSource ArticleAlso: nbcnews.comAlso: nbcnews.com
#national-security#killing-democracy

Thursday, March 12, 2026

national security

president suggests u.s. maybe too murdery for iran’s soccer team

Nothing says "we guarantee athlete safety" like the commander in chief hinting visiting players might not make it out of L.A. alive.

Nothing says "we guarantee athlete safety" like the commander in chief hinting visiting players might not make it out of L.A. alive.

President Donald Trump hopped on Truth Social to let the world know that while Iran’s national soccer team is technically "welcome" at the 2026 World Cup in the U.S., he "really doesn’t believe it is appropriate that they be there, for their own life and safety." You know, just the president of the United States casually implying he can’t vouch for whether visiting athletes might get killed if they show up. Very normal, extremely reassuring, top-tier tourism slogan material.

Iran’s sports minister Ahmad Donyamali had already said Iran won’t participate because the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and other top officials. So Iran is boycotting on account of that whole "you assassinated our leadership" thing, while Trump responds by basically saying, yeah, and also, can’t promise your players won’t get whacked if they come either. The global norm since Munich 1972 has been that athletes are sacrosanct; Trump’s norm is that they’re just another prop in his forever grievance theater.

For bonus whiplash, this tough-guy warning comes the same week Trump offered asylum to Iran’s women’s team if Australia wouldn’t take them — a split-screen where he plays savior for women athletes while hinting the men’s team might not survive a trip to Los Angeles and Seattle. Diplomatic "sportswashing" used to mean regimes using games to look better; under Trump, it’s the U.S. using the World Cup to advertise that even athlete safety is now a negotiable part of his foreign policy cosplay.

nbcnews.comSource Article
#national-security#killing-democracy

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

national security

commander-in-tweet shuts the strait of hormuz

US warships guard an empty shipping lane while Trump rage-posts about mines that aren’t the main problem. What could go wrong?

US warships guard an empty shipping lane while Trump rage-posts about mines that aren’t the main problem. What could go wrong?

US intelligence says the biggest threat to oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz isn’t mines, it’s Iran directly blowing them out of the water with drones and shore-to-ship missiles. The Trump administration, ever the master strategist, responded by fixating on mines anyway and launching strikes on 16 mostly moored mine-laying vessels after Trump rattled his digital saber on Truth Social. US Central Command dutifully posted the video, because nothing says careful escalation management like turning a potential regional war into influencer content.

Lawmakers got a classified briefing in which, according to Sen. Chris Murphy, the Pentagon basically admitted they have no idea how to safely reopen a chokepoint that carries a fifth of the world’s oil. Meanwhile, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard has effectively shut down the strait, oil prices are spiking, and ship operators are understandably refusing to play "suicide run" with their crews. The White House, asked about all this, pointed reporters back to Trump’s social media threats as if that counts as a policy. National security by vibes and gas prices by roulette wheel is apparently the entire plan.

Energy secretary Chris Wright went on TV to insist that the US has destroyed “many” of Iran’s weapons and that traffic will resume in “a few weeks,” without offering details, math, or reality. Within days, at least three ships were still hit in and around the strait, including a Thai bulk carrier Iran openly claimed. So the current US posture is: we launched our biggest attack of the war, we can’t guarantee we can protect tankers, crews don’t want to sail, Iran is still hitting ships, and the White House is outsourcing its messaging to Trump’s unhinged posts. But relax, they’ve totally got this under control.
theguardian.comSource ArticleAlso: nbcnews.comAlso: theguardian.com
#national-security#imperialism#full-stupid

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

national security

trump discovers new iranian weapons system: vibes-based tomahawks

Trump explains the Iran war using the same research methodology he used for COVID: none.

Trump explains the Iran war using the same research methodology he used for COVID: none.

Nothing reassures a country ‘amid Iran war’ like a Trump press conference built entirely out of vibes, guesswork, and whatever he half-heard on cable news. Standing at the podium, Trump confidently claims Iran has Tomahawk missiles — a U.S. weapon system — and, minor detail, offers zero evidence. Who needs intel briefings when you have pure, uncut improvisation? Meanwhile, he insists Vladimir Putin wants to be ‘helpful’ in the Middle East, which is exactly what you say when you’ve outsourced U.S. foreign policy to the guy who keeps your kompromat folder in a climate‑controlled vault. As he free-associates about war, oil, and markets sliding into a ditch, the global economy reacts like it’s watching a drunk guy juggle lit matches in a fireworks factory. While Israel hits Iranian oil facilities and analysts try to explain missile ranges and escalation risks like adults, the American president is on live TV rewriting weapons inventories and reality itself. Actual national security experts talk about drones and deterrence; Trump talks about imaginary Tomahawks and how everything is ‘very under control.’ The only thing truly under control is the steady erosion of competent governance, as U.S. war policy gets made in real time by a man who treats facts like optional DLC.
nbcnews.comSource ArticleAlso: theguardian.comAlso: npr.org
#national-security#killing-democracy#full-stupid

Saturday, March 7, 2026

national security

dea runs nuclear weapons cosplay, accidentally finds real plutonium

Artist’s rendition of global nuclear security: one Geiger counter, several warlords, and a DEA agent LARPing as an Iranian general.

Artist’s rendition of global nuclear security: one Geiger counter, several warlords, and a DEA agent LARPing as an Iranian general.

American law enforcement just reenacted every neocon fever dream: an undercover DEA agent pretended to be an Iranian general in charge of Tehran’s nuclear weapons program, and a Japanese "Yakuza boss" – who may actually just be a garden-variety conman – tried to sell him heroin, meth, rocket launchers, and, oh right, weapons-grade plutonium. Because when you picture nuclear proliferation, you obviously think: Myanmar rebels, Golden Triangle drug routes, and a guy who calls uranium and meth "cake and ice cream" like he’s running a cursed Baskin-Robbins.

The US calls this a "resounding success" in nuclear security, which is one way to describe discovering that insurgent groups in Myanmar are apparently mining uranium while porous borders, weak customs, and nonexistent radiation detection let nuclear material wander around the planet like it’s backpacking through Europe. Experts are now stuck asking the fun question: if this random drug-smuggling side-hustler had weapons-grade plutonium samples, where did they actually come from, and how much more is out there? The official answer so far is: ¯\(ツ)/¯, but with more footnotes.

Meanwhile, the DEA’s sting relied on the classic Washington script: pretend Iran is buying nukes, then point to Iran to justify endless war talk about Iran’s nuclear program… while the real problem is unsecured material leaking from everywhere else. So yes, we’re bombing and sanctioning one country over a program it denies, while weapons-grade plutonium is apparently available via insurgent WhatsApp in Myanmar. Strong work, global nuclear order.

theguardian.comSource Article
#national-security#killing-democracy

Thursday, March 5, 2026

national security

trump’s foreign policy chickens attempt to roost

Artist’s impression of US foreign policy: one guy on trial in Brooklyn, several guys erased by a missile, and Trump on TV declaring it all a personal win.

Artist’s impression of US foreign policy: one guy on trial in Brooklyn, several guys erased by a missile, and Trump on TV declaring it all a personal win.

A Pakistani businessman is on trial in Brooklyn for allegedly trying to hire hitmen to kill Donald Trump, and his defense is basically: the IRGC made me do it. Asif Merchant says Iran’s Revolutionary Guard threatened his wife and adopted daughter in Tehran unless he came to the US, recruited criminals, laundered money, stole documents, and, oh yes, arranged a political assassination. Instead of hardened killers, he found undercover FBI agents who let him spill the whole plan on tape while he sketched it out on a napkin like a discount Bond villain. Prosecutors are not exactly buying the "I was just a terrified family man accidentally working with a designated terrorist organization" story. They say there’s zero evidence for a real duress defense and plenty of evidence that Merchant knew exactly what he was doing, including recordings where he politely inquires if someone could "maybe, you can, say, kill someone" — a political figure whose name he claimed he still hadn’t been given. The FBI also had an informant embedded the whole time, because if there’s one American export that still works, it’s surveillance. The trial helpfully opened just as the US and Israel were busy vaporizing Iran’s supreme leader and over a thousand other people, with defense secretary Pete Hegseth bragging that a US strike also killed the alleged mastermind of the 2024 Trump assassination plot. It’s not clear if that’s the same person Merchant says handled him, but the message is clear: the Trump administration’s approach to rule of law is jury trial for the middleman, drone strike for the guy higher up the food chain. Trump, never one to miss an opportunity for self-mythology, summed up the whole thing to ABC News with: “I got him before he got me.” American foreign policy, now officially a Marvel origin story. Iran denies targeting Trump or anyone else, the US insists it heroically preempted an assassination, and a Brooklyn jury is left to sort through a mess where everyone claims to be the real victim. It’s a tidy snapshot of Trump-era national security: sprawling covert plots, secret informants, extrajudicial killings overseas, and a former president publicly boasting about having someone blown up like that’s just another campaign talking point. Checks and balances, but make it paramilitary.
theguardian.comSource ArticleAlso: nbcnews.com
#national-security#imperialism#killing-democracy
national security

americans stranded, warships sunk, but trump’s busy with a texas primary

Americans at a packed Middle East airport discovering the Trump evacuation plan is basically: ‘have you tried not being there?’

Americans at a packed Middle East airport discovering the Trump evacuation plan is basically: ‘have you tried not being there?’

The Middle East is erupting, a U.S. submarine has just torpedoed an Iranian warship, and thousands of Americans are now stranded trying to get out. So naturally, the Trump administration is laser-focused on the most urgent national priority: endorsing someone in a nasty Texas Senate primary. Foreign policy? Consular protection? Evacuation planning? Please, there are donors to impress and cable hits to book.

While Americans scramble for flights and wonder if their government remembers they exist, the war footing ramps up and the White House treats them like inconvenient background extras in Trump’s latest ratings stunt. The State Department’s message appears to be: good luck, stay safe, and don’t forget to vote for whoever Dear Leader blesses in Texas. It’s a perfect snapshot of Trump-era national security: play battleship with Iran on live TV, then shrug when actual Americans get caught in the middle.

Rule of law, international norms, and basic duty of care to citizens are all gently placed in the shredder while the administration chases its next domestic political “win.” The only real evacuation plan seems to be evacuating responsibility.

nbcnews.comSource ArticleAlso: npr.orgAlso: theguardian.com
#national-security#killing-democracy

Saturday, February 28, 2026

national security

trump considers nukes and war, decides to ‘wait and see’

President Trump, pausing on the stairs of Air Force One to ponder whether to extend diplomacy or just speedrun another Middle East war.

President Trump, pausing on the stairs of Air Force One to ponder whether to extend diplomacy or just speedrun another Middle East war.

Trump, fresh off the steps of Air Force One and apparently still mad that physics exists, announced he’s “not happy” with the Iran nuclear talks but will graciously allow negotiators a little more time before he decides whether to start another war. U.S. envoys just finished another round of indirect talks in Geneva, while American forces quietly stack up in the region like Chekhov’s missile batteries. Trump keeps insisting Iran “cannot have nuclear weapons” while also rejecting the idea they should be allowed to enrich any uranium, including for civilian energy, because why have a nonproliferation framework when you can have vibes. Oman’s foreign minister Badr al-Busaidi went on TV to politely beg Trump to let the professionals keep working, suggesting a deal is actually within reach if the White House would stop treating diplomacy like a reality show cliffhanger. Trump, naturally, sounded more pessimistic on his Texas photo-op tour, complaining that Iran “doesn’t want to quite go far enough” and dodging questions about how close he is to launching a strike with a very reassuring “I’d rather not tell you.” Asked about the risk of a drawn-out conflict, he explained that “when there’s war, there’s a risk of anything, both good and bad,” which is certainly one way to describe mass casualties and regional destabilization. Meanwhile, Secretary of State Marco Rubio is headed to Israel for a quick cameo, while the U.S. Embassy quietly tells staff they can leave if they want — a classic tell that the administration is absolutely not preparing for war, except for the evacuations, the troops, and the president doing nuclear brinkmanship as improv. So the world once again waits to see whether U.S. Middle East policy will be guided by careful diplomacy or by whatever Trump blurts out the next time someone hands him a microphone.
npr.orgSource ArticleAlso: theguardian.comAlso: theguardian.com
#national-security#killing-democracy#imperialism

Friday, February 27, 2026

national security

pentagon laser defense system bravely defeats u.s. drone

Pentagon anti-drone system scans the sky for its next high-value target: a $30 balloon or a multimillion-dollar U.S. drone.

Pentagon anti-drone system scans the sky for its next high-value target: a $30 balloon or a multimillion-dollar U.S. drone.

The FAA quietly shut down airspace near Fort Hancock, Texas, after what congressional aides say was a military laser-based anti-drone system accidentally shooting down a U.S. government drone. So the cutting-edge border security tech meant to protect America from foreign threats is currently batting 1.000 against...America. This follows an earlier episode where the same Pentagon-loaned laser system was reportedly used by border agents to heroically obliterate a party balloon near El Paso, prompting another airspace freakout the FAA had to hastily walk back. So far the scorecard for this expensive wonder-weapon: one balloon, one U.S. drone, zero actual enemies. But sure, let’s keep turning the southern border into a live-fire demo range while the agencies involved refuse to explain anything beyond vague "special security reasons" and extended no-fly zones. Nothing says "world’s most responsible superpower" like laser-blinding the sky along the Mexican border, then clamming up when taxpayers ask why their own government hardware keeps getting zapped by its own government.
theguardian.comSource ArticleAlso: theguardian.comAlso: theguardian.com
#national-security#full-stupid

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

national security

guy who killed the iran deal now shocked iran wants nukes

Trump explains his new Iran ‘red line,’ seen here moments before he asks if you can nuke a centrifuge on Truth Social.

Trump explains his new Iran ‘red line,’ seen here moments before he asks if you can nuke a centrifuge on Truth Social.

Donald Trump used his 2026 spotlight to announce a dramatic new "red line" on Iran getting a nuclear weapon, as if he didn't personally spend years lighting the old nuclear agreement on fire and then salting the earth where it used to be. The man who tore up the JCPOA and bragged about it is now gravely warning that Iran must never be allowed to do the thing his own policy choices made significantly easier. This is classic Trump foreign policy: break the working smoke detector, smash the fire extinguisher, lay off the firefighters, then step in front of the cameras to declare that he alone will not tolerate house fires. While serious people once used inspections, multilateral diplomacy, and enforceable limits, we're back to the era of vibes-based deterrence and Sharpie geopolitics, where a "red line" is whatever Trump yells over the teleprompter that day. What the administration is actually signaling is more unilateral brinkmanship and fewer constraints on presidential war powers. Congress, predictably, is treated as background furniture while Trump freelances nuclear policy on live TV. It's a great system if you’re an aspiring strongman or a defense contractor; slightly less great if you’re anyone living within range of, say, Earth. So now the world is supposed to trust that the guy who confused hurricanes with Alabama is carefully managing a nuclear standoff with Iran. Sleep tight.
nbcnews.comSource ArticleAlso: nbcnews.comAlso: nbcnews.com
#national-security#imperialism#killing-democracy

Saturday, February 21, 2026

national security

pentagon now doing reactor uber for trump’s ai buddies

Nothing to see here, just the U.S. military beta-testing "reactor on a plane" so Trump’s friends can plug their AI server farms straight into a flying Chernobyl carry-on.

Nothing to see here, just the U.S. military beta-testing "reactor on a plane" so Trump’s friends can plug their AI server farms straight into a flying Chernobyl carry-on.

The Pentagon just did a test run of "DoorDash, but make it nuclear," airlifting a privately built Valar Atomics microreactor from California to Utah on a C-17 so the Trump administration can brag that it can drop reactors wherever it wants, whenever it wants. Don’t worry though, they promise this one didn’t have fuel in it, which is exactly the kind of detail that makes you feel safe when the same crew that can’t run a basic background check is now playing Lego with fission. Energy Secretary Chris Wright and Defense Undersecretary Michael Duffey flew along with the 5‑megawatt unit to celebrate what they’re calling a "breakthrough" in fast-tracking commercial licensing for microreactors. Translation: we found a way to use the military as a flying demo showroom for private nuclear vendors while shoving regulators to the back of the cargo bay. All of this is wrapped in Trump’s grand plan to "reshape" the energy landscape by loving nuclear, hating renewables, and still worshipping coal like it’s 1892. The sales pitch is that these pop-up reactors will power both the military and the exploding demand from AI and data centers — you know, the same AI industry that already writes half the administration’s talking points. Skeptics keep pointing out pesky issues like safety, cost, and feasibility, but the White House seems far more interested in proving it can strap a reactor to a plane than in demonstrating how you secure, regulate, or decommission a fleet of flying nukes-for-hire. What could possibly go wrong when you fuse wartime logistics, deregulation, and corporate tech thirst into one glowing little box?
npr.orgSource Article
#national-security#forever-grifting

Wednesday, February 18, 2026

national security

trump does indian ocean geopolitics from the toilet

A tranquil aerial view of the Chagos Islands, soon to be the backdrop for whatever foreign policy Trump last rage-posted before lunch.

A tranquil aerial view of the Chagos Islands, soon to be the backdrop for whatever foreign policy Trump last rage-posted before lunch.

Donald Trump has discovered the Chagos Islands again, which is bad news for anyone who thought nuclear strategy and decolonisation shouldn’t be run through his brain’s random number generator. After previously calling the UK–Mauritius sovereignty deal over the Chagos archipelago "the best" Starmer could get, he’s now back on Truth Social shrieking that the UK must not "give away Diego Garcia" and that 100-year leases are bad, actually. The plan: Britain returns sovereignty to Mauritius, then leases back the island hosting the joint UK–US base. The problem: Trump just realized he can rant about it. The UK Foreign Office is politely insisting the deal is "crucial" for security and the only way to protect the base’s long-term future, while Trump informs them that shadowy "entities never known of before" are claiming the island. (He means Mauritius. And, awkwardly, the Chagossians the UK expelled so the base could exist in the first place.) He also warns that America will of course be ready to "fight for the U.K." as long as Britain stays strong against "Wokeism" — a bold condition to attach to basing rights and nuclear strategy. Naturally, he spices this up by casually suggesting the US may need Diego Garcia and an airfield at Fairford to "eradicate" a potential Iranian attack if Tehran doesn’t take a deal on its nuclear programme. The White House, rather than pretending this is just grandpa yelling at clouds, helpfully clarifies that whatever Trump posts is official policy, "straight from the horse’s mouth" — a phrase doing a lot of work here. Meanwhile, UK legislation to implement the Chagos deal is mysteriously delayed, opposition parties are lining up to scream that Starmer is "giving away" the islands, and four Chagossians are literally occupying an atoll to protest the handover. So we have: a decades-long decolonisation dispute, a displaced population, a critical US bomber base, and Iran nuclear brinkmanship — all now being steered by a man who thinks you should never sign a lease longer than a golf club membership. What could possibly go wrong.
bbc.comSource Article
#national-security#imperialism

Thursday, February 5, 2026

national security

america first, china winning by 20 points

Donald Trump explains his China strategy: a complex mix of tariffs, tantrums, and handing Xi Jinping a gift-wrapped AI advantage.

Donald Trump explains his China strategy: a complex mix of tariffs, tantrums, and handing Xi Jinping a gift-wrapped AI advantage.

Trump’s second-term "strategic vision"—a phrase doing a lot of work here—amounts to handing China a fruit basket, a bouquet, and the keys to the global order. After years of ranting that Beijing wants to "challenge American power," he responded by gutting U.S. science, botching a trade war so badly that China walked away with a record $1.2 trillion surplus, and letting them sprint ahead in electric cars, wind, and batteries. America First apparently means "America first to forfeit the future." Allies watched this clown show and did the rational thing: they called Beijing. Canada, tired of being threatened with becoming the 51st state and hammered with tariffs, signed a new strategic partnership with China. South Korea inked a dozen tech and trade deals in Beijing, the UK and Germany lined up for Xi Jinping photo ops, and world opinion polls now show more countries see China—not the U.S.—as the top economic power. Trump didn’t just weaken NATO; he created a global "find a new best friend" program, and Xi is the one handing out membership cards. The national security pièce de résistance: reversing Biden-era curbs and greenlighting Nvidia to sell advanced AI chips to China after some billionaire donors whined about lost profits. Jake Sullivan called it "nuts" because it literally solves China’s main military-tech bottleneck. So after years of screaming about the China threat, Trump personally helps fix Beijing’s computing shortfall and then brags about being tough on China. The trade war ended with China restricting rare earths and banning U.S. soybeans until Trump folded, enraging American farmers and proving that the self-proclaimed master negotiator can, in fact, be bullied into submission—just not by his own citizens.
theguardian.comSource Article
#national-security#killing-democracy#full-stupid
national security

trump to nukes: 'if they explode, they explode'

Artist’s impression of Trump’s 'Golden Dome': a giant, gold-plated umbrella over Mar-a-Lago, funded by your grandkids’ tax dollars and protected by exactly zero working interceptors.

Artist’s impression of Trump’s 'Golden Dome': a giant, gold-plated umbrella over Mar-a-Lago, funded by your grandkids’ tax dollars and protected by exactly zero working interceptors.

Senator Ed Markey is here with the cheery reminder that the last remaining US-Russia nuclear arms control treaty, New START, is expiring, and Donald Trump’s position is essentially: “Eh.” For the first time in over 50 years, there will be zero limits on US and Russian nuclear arsenals, but the guy with the launch codes is publicly musing that, if the treaty expires, it just "expires"—like a coupon, or a non-disclosure agreement he forgot to pay off. Instead of backing the boring, proven method of not dying in nuclear fire (treaties, inspections, verification), Trump is drooling over a fantasy missile shield he calls "Golden Dome"—a wildly expensive sci‑fi grift that doesn’t work, but would shovel trillions to defense contractors and, naturally, required him to "control" Greenland. Because when you’re playing nuclear roulette with 4,000 warheads, why not toss in a little casual imperialism and real estate cosplay. Markey points out the obvious: missile defense has burned through hundreds of billions and still can’t reliably stop a determined ICBM, but it’s fantastic at one thing—fueling a new arms race, since Russia and others can just build more offensive missiles to overwhelm the magic dome. With 91% of Americans supporting new limits, Trump is once again heroically standing up to the tyranny of public opinion, basic survival instincts, and math, edging us toward Arms Race 2.0 while pretending it’s some kind of strategic genius move.
theguardian.comSource ArticleAlso: bbc.comAlso: bbc.com
#national-security#killing-democracy

Sunday, February 1, 2026

national security

trump’s golden dome and the doomsday clock

Keir Starmer and Xi Jinping, both carefully not mentioning the part where China is racing to build more nukes while Trump tries to sell a magic missile umbrella to terrified Americans.

Keir Starmer and Xi Jinping, both carefully not mentioning the part where China is racing to build more nukes while Trump tries to sell a magic missile umbrella to terrified Americans.

Keir Starmer goes to Beijing, skips the part about human rights and Taiwan, and somehow also forgets to bring up the tiny issue of China’s secretive nuclear binge. Because nothing says "responsible statesman" like politely nodding while Xi Jinping quietly stacks warheads like it’s a Costco sale. Meanwhile, the Doomsday Clock just moved to 85 seconds to midnight – closer to nuclear Armageddon than ever – but Western leaders are busy workshopping their "constructive engagement" photo ops. China is racing to expand its arsenal – about 100 new warheads a year since 2023 – while refusing to join arms control talks, all under the soothing label of maintaining only the "minimum level required for national security" (a number they conveniently forgot to define). The US and Russia still hoard about 90% of the world’s ~12,000 warheads, New START is about to expire, and nearly every nuclear state is upgrading to shiny new toys like hypersonic missiles and low-yield "usable" nukes. In other words: everyone is playing nuclear Jenga and hoping someone else knocks the table over first. Enter Donald Trump, who, rather than strengthen arms control, is pushing a multilayered, Greenland-adjacent "Golden Dome" missile shield that experts say could blow up what’s left of strategic stability. Because nothing says "let’s calm this down" like building a giant, wildly expensive, probably-not-working space umbrella that convinces your rivals they’d better build more missiles to overwhelm it. The Pentagon is already warning that China’s "hair-trigger" posture and new ICBM fields make the US homeland more vulnerable, but Trump’s answer is: more toys, fewer treaties, and maximum provocation. Xi calls Trump one of the "rampant" powers following the law of the jungle, which is rich coming from a guy racing to emperor-for-life status while quietly building the arsenal to match. But he’s not wrong about the jungle part: Trump helped torch the arms control architecture, is now selling a fantasy missile dome to his base, and everyone else is responding by doubling down on nukes. The adults in the room were supposed to stop this. Instead, they’re arguing over who gets the best optics while the countdown clock keeps ticking.
theguardian.comSource Article
#national-security#killing-democracy#imperialism

Thursday, January 29, 2026

national security

trump discovers the war button again

Donald Trump, bravely threatening a war he’ll never have to fight in, while a US armada does the heavy lifting for his latest episode of Strongman Theater.

Donald Trump, bravely threatening a war he’ll never have to fight in, while a US armada does the heavy lifting for his latest episode of Strongman Theater.

Donald Trump has decided that what the world really needs right now is a little light nuclear brinkmanship, announcing that ‘time is running out’ for Iran while parking a huge US armada on its doorstep. Because nothing says responsible global leadership like menacing a country of 89 million people to juice your strongman image and cable-news chyron. This latest episode in "What If We Just Started A War?" comes after Trump first promised Iranian protesters that ‘help was on the way,’ then immediately backtracked when it looked like actual responsibility might be involved. Now he’s demanding Tehran negotiate a new deal on its nuclear program while simultaneously doing everything possible to make sure diplomacy dies in a ditch — in other words, classic Trump: threaten war, sabotage talks, then blame the other side for not being serious enough about peace. Behind the scenes, Pentagon hardware is doing laps in the Persian Gulf while the rest of us get to play the fun new party game, "Is this a bluff, or is the least disciplined man alive about to start a regional war because he got bored on Truth Social?" Devika Bhat walks through what Trump could do next, which ranges from more empty chest-thumping to an actual military strike — but sure, tell us again how the adults are in the room and everything’s totally under control.
theguardian.comSource ArticleAlso: theguardian.comAlso: theguardian.com
#national-security#killing-democracy